Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.026707 8.257715 9.609885 11.201167 13.018179 15.023704 17.400177
2025-12-28 5.175060 6.882291 8.960521 11.655310 15.033458 19.102649 24.346693
2026-01-04 4.054487 5.956597 8.468608 11.979614 16.702320 22.770026 31.078667
2026-01-11 3.227649 5.170044 7.920745 12.015412 17.852438 25.753577 37.108623
2026-01-18 2.637688 4.566604 7.473052 12.044374 18.894230 28.585259 43.086970
2026-01-25 2.119969 3.954196 6.885353 11.738517 19.352111 30.564499 47.962650
2026-02-01 1.723926 3.452226 6.371603 11.441640 19.737249 32.406299 52.715187
2026-02-08 1.381376 2.969059 5.801538 10.954268 19.732485 33.609108 56.545171
2026-02-15 1.125453 2.590194 5.343533 10.576458 19.833216 34.939599 60.617348
2026-02-22 1.004895 2.451165 5.292056 10.891658 21.108688 38.220738 67.974698
2026-03-01 0.904266 2.332428 5.257788 11.225244 22.432972 41.661259 75.799936
2026-03-08 0.749453 2.061822 4.881883 10.862199 22.463832 42.906954 80.048323
2026-03-15 0.610540 1.806071 4.515791 10.512757 22.564138 44.420905 85.122864
2026-03-22 0.555709 1.745808 4.563852 11.020254 24.367377 49.136322 96.170869
2026-03-29 0.494821 1.654673 4.527369 11.344794 25.845994 53.381852 106.696060
2026-04-05 0.425772 1.522128 4.369912 11.382025 26.745377 56.616780 115.614907
2026-04-12 0.367006 1.402108 4.219574 11.410257 27.620591 59.860165 124.751519
2026-04-19 0.303364 1.246939 3.949554 11.118665 27.779708 61.719464 131.407350
2026-04-26 0.250920 1.110317 3.699971 10.835584 27.918147 63.533155 138.075857
2026-05-03 0.201526 0.965824 3.397193 10.370922 27.591841 64.369814 142.883585
2026-05-10 0.163949 0.850099 3.151142 10.010800 27.458066 65.577175 148.480943
2026-05-17 0.148866 0.818501 3.153085 10.311239 28.910696 70.216775 161.253399
2026-05-24 0.135744 0.790536 3.161125 10.629260 30.434729 75.108837 174.816862